Weather is not factored into the Longley-Rice model used by TVFool. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Longley%E2%80%93Rice_model
The transmitter database was updated earlier this month, it's possible an antenna change or power increase/decrease made it's way into the data.
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If the well is dry and you don't see rain on the horizon, you'll need to dig the hole deeper. (If the antenna can't get the job done, an amp won't fix it.)
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